What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for NCMI?

As of 2026-09-21, NCMI has a convergence score of 5 with conviction tier WATCH and 8 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is NCMI's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

NCMI — Catalyst score 5 (WATCH) · industrials

$NCMI

industrials · convergence 5 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Price & Live Quote

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Why $NCMI?

NCMI 5 WATCH industrials

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-9.9M (+7.5% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: merger, biotech, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_eia_petroleum

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (5 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

AVGO via semis r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 20)
MX via semis r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 20)
ADIG via consumer r=+0.74 sympathetic (score 33)
NXXT via consumer r=+0.74 sympathetic (score 32)
FNGR via tech r=+0.67 sympathetic (score 42)
CARG via tech r=+0.67 sympathetic (score 37)

Signals Firing

mergerbiotechauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_term_premium

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

8-K2026-09-21T08:03:44-04:00View on EDGAR →

Sympathy Basket

AVGOvia semis · score 20
MXvia semis · score 20
ADIGvia consumer · score 33
NXXTvia consumer · score 32
FNGRvia tech · score 42
CARGvia tech · score 37

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.7% of the time across 332 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.6%. That is a +9.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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