What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for NCPL?

As of 2026-09-24, NCPL has a convergence score of 13 with conviction tier WATCH and 10 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is NCPL's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on NCPL?

On the last 7 published picks featuring NCPL, 3 hit the +2% intraday threshold (43% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · NCPL

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$NCPL

financials · convergence 13 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

3/7

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Why $NCPL?

NCPL 13 WATCH financials

Quantitative

Market cap: $8,161,815
Convergence score: 13 (10 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 10 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, gap, ftd, fed_overlay

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

ONDS via comms r=-0.90 divergent (score 25)
IRDM via comms r=-0.90 divergent (score 12)
FNGR via tech r=-0.61 divergent (score 27)
IPDN via tech r=-0.61 divergent (score 24)

Signals Firing

earningsfinra_shortgapftdfed_overlaysector_overlayauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_options_gex

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-08-28	sec_clean_gappers	+19.5%	+3.5%	✓ hit
2026-08-28	sec_top_gappers	+19.5%	+3.5%	✓ hit
2026-08-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+19.5%	+3.5%	✓ hit
2026-08-25	sec_top_gappers	+0.9%	-13.6%	—
2026-08-25	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.9%	-13.6%	—
2026-08-18	sec_top_gappers	+0.9%	+0.4%	—
2026-08-18	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.9%	+0.4%	—

Lifetime: 3/7 wins · hit-rate 42.9% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

ONDSvia comms · score 25
IRDMvia comms · score 12
FNGRvia tech · score 27
IPDNvia tech · score 24

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for NCPL. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.3% of the time across 344 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.3%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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