What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for ON?

As of 2026-11-05, ON has a convergence score of -12 with conviction tier AVOID and 8 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is ON's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on ON?

On the last 8 published picks featuring ON, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (25% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ON

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$ON

semis · convergence -12 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-12

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/8

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Why $ON?

ON -12 AVOID semis

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $226.8M (+33.2% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: reddit, congress, oge_exec, contract, audit_extras

Risks

Auditor change / restatement: non_reliance on

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, semis-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

EPAM via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 17)
PLTK via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 17)
GEO via industrials r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 25)
LOAR via industrials r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 21)
TAP via staples r=-0.60 divergent (score 15)
CPB via staples r=-0.60 divergent (score 2)

Signals Firing

redditcongressoge_execcontractaudit_extrasauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-11-03	sec_top_gappers	+2.2%	-1.9%	✓ hit
2026-11-03	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.2%	-1.9%	✓ hit
2026-10-06	sec_top_gappers	-1.3%	-4.4%	—
2026-10-06	sec_top_moat_emerging	-1.3%	-4.4%	—
2026-10-05	sec_top_gappers	+1.2%	+0.4%	—
2026-10-05	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.2%	+0.4%	—
2026-10-02	sec_top_gappers	+1.7%	+1.2%	—
2026-10-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.7%	+1.2%	—

Lifetime: 2/8 wins · hit-rate 25.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

EPAMvia tech · score 17
PLTKvia tech · score 17
GEOvia industrials · score 25
LOARvia industrials · score 21
TAPvia staples · score 15
CPBvia staples · score 2

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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