CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-10
$SEIC
financials · convergence 4 · conviction WATCH
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Why $SEIC?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $641.6M (+14.7% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $195.7M (-13.8% YoY)
Catalysts
Buyback authorization : Buyback authorization 2026-10-21
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (4 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 10)
AIRE via real_estate r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 9)
MOD via consumer r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 23)
LINC via consumer r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 18)
AIOT via comms r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 28)
SKYD via comms r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 20)
Signals Firing
buyback fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_credit_spreads auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_options_gex auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +0.7% +0.3% — 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.7% +0.3% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers +0.5% -0.4% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.5% -0.4% —
Lifetime: 0/4 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket AEI via real_estate · score 10 AIRE via real_estate · score 9 MOD via consumer · score 23 LINC via consumer · score 18 AIOT via comms · score 28 SKYD via comms · score 20
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