CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$SMTK
tech · convergence -3 · conviction WATCH
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Why $SMTK?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-3.3M (-35.7% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 6 convergent signals fired: earnings, regsho, finra_short, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Reg SHO threshold list : On NASDAQ threshold list (2026-11-04)
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
SHLS via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 25)
NVDA via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 16)
CRIS via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 30)
BLLN via biotech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 24)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 20)
CHTR via comms r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 19)
Signals Firing
earnings regsho finra_short auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-09-15 sec_top_gappers +3.4% -3.7% ✓ hit 2026-09-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.4% -3.7% ✓ hit 2026-09-14 sec_top_gappers +28.1% +5.6% ✓ hit 2026-09-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +28.1% +5.6% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 4/4 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket SHLS via semis · score 25 NVDA via semis · score 16 CRIS via biotech · score 30 BLLN via biotech · score 24 LBTYA via comms · score 20 CHTR via comms · score 19
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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