Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · TFPM
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09

$TFPM

financials · convergence 7 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
7
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
10
Track Record
2/4
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Why $TFPM?

TFPM 7 WATCH financials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: 7 (10 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 10 convergent signals fired: sc13d, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia

Risks

  • Material agreement / debt arrangement: plan_of_arrangement

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • MOD via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 23)
  • VSA via consumer r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 19)
  • AGNT via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 18)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 14)
  • SLVM via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 24)
  • EP via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 23)

Signals Firing

sc13dfed_overlaysector_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_banrep_colombiaauto_macro_bls_employmentauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_options_gexauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-11-04sec_top_gappers+4.3%+2.2%✓ hit
2026-11-04sec_top_moat_emerging+4.3%+2.2%✓ hit
2026-10-07sec_top_gappers+2.0%+1.6%—
2026-10-07sec_top_moat_emerging+2.0%+1.6%—
Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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