CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-12
$TNYA
biotech · convergence -12 · conviction AVOID
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Why $TNYA?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-43.4M (-86.4% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 6 convergent signals fired: finra_short, biotech, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia, auto_macro_bls_employment
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-12 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
NVDA via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 15)
CBRS via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 5)
ENS via tech r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 20)
INVE via tech r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 20)
ONDS via comms r=+0.71 sympathetic (score 4)
FWONA via comms r=+0.71 sympathetic (score 2)
Signals Firing
finra_short biotech auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +3.5% +0.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.5% +0.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers +4.9% -2.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.9% -2.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-15 sec_top_gappers +2.2% -6.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-15 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.2% -6.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +10.0% +4.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +10.0% +4.3% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 8/8 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket NVDA via semis · score 15 CBRS via semis · score 5 ENS via tech · score 20 INVE via tech · score 20 ONDS via comms · score 4 FWONA via comms · score 2
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