CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03
$TPST
biotech · convergence 8 · conviction WATCH
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Why $TPST?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-5.2M (+33.4% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 7 convergent signals fired: earnings, pill, auto_sec_poison_pill, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
KDP via staples r=-0.90 divergent (score 37)
TAP via staples r=-0.90 divergent (score 23)
SHOP via tech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 28)
BLZE via tech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 27)
DIOD via semis r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 26)
NVDA via semis r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 23)
Signals Firing
earnings pill auto_sec_poison_pill auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-28 sec_top_gappers +3.7% -1.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.7% -1.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +5.7% +5.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +5.7% +5.7% ✓ hit 2026-10-22 sec_top_gappers +3.8% -2.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.8% -2.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_clean_gappers +8.2% -8.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_gappers +8.2% -8.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_moat_emerging +8.2% -8.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_gappers +4.7% -4.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.7% -4.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-28 sec_top_gappers +2.3% -2.6% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 15/19 wins · hit-rate 78.9% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket KDP via staples · score 37 TAP via staples · score 23 SHOP via tech · score 28 BLZE via tech · score 27 DIOD via semis · score 26 NVDA via semis · score 23
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.