What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for TRV?

As of 2026-11-04, TRV has a convergence score of -9 with conviction tier WATCH and 5 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is TRV's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on TRV?

On the last 6 published picks featuring TRV, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (33% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · TRV

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-04

$TRV

insurance · convergence -9 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

-9

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/6

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Why $TRV?

TRV -9 WATCH insurance

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $12.15B (+31.0% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $2.21B (+46.3% YoY)
Net Margin (CY2026Q3): 15.4%

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: orphan_lean, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates, auto_macro_options_gex

Risks

Macro headwind: Sector macro lean -1 — broader-tape pressure

Bear case

Macro sector overhang: Sector insurance carrying -1 macro lean from convergence engine

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

ALL via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 7)
MET via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 6)
PGR via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 1)
AIG via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 0)
CINF via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 0)
PRU via insurance r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -2)

Signals Firing

orphan_leanauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_options_gex

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-20	sec_top_gappers	+1.0%	+0.8%	—
2026-10-20	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.0%	+0.8%	—
2026-10-19	sec_top_gappers	+2.9%	+2.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-19	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.9%	+2.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-16	sec_top_gappers	+0.1%	-1.1%	—
2026-10-16	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.1%	-1.1%	—

Lifetime: 2/6 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

ALLvia insurance · score 7
METvia insurance · score 6
PGRvia insurance · score 1
AIGvia insurance · score 0
CINFvia insurance · score 0
PRUvia insurance · score -2

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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