Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · UCAR
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$UCAR

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
8/12
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Why $UCAR?

UCAR -15 AVOID tech

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -15 (3 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 3 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_eia_petroleum, auto_macro_inflation_expectations

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-15 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, tech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • RFIL via semis r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 21)
  • AVGO via semis r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 8)
  • PAGP via energy r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 2)
  • DK via energy r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 1)
  • AGNT via real_estate r=+0.73 sympathetic (score 16)
  • CSUI via real_estate r=+0.73 sympathetic (score -1)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-04sec_top_gappers+1577.3%+1471.1%✓ hit
2026-09-04sec_top_moat_emerging+1577.3%+1471.1%✓ hit
2026-08-17sec_top_gappers+18.1%+10.4%✓ hit
2026-08-17sec_top_moat_emerging+18.1%+10.4%✓ hit
2026-08-12sec_top_gappers+1.8%+1.8%
2026-08-12sec_top_moat_emerging+1.8%+1.8%
2026-08-11sec_top_gappers+7.9%+0.9%✓ hit
2026-08-11sec_top_moat_emerging+7.9%+0.9%✓ hit
2026-08-05sec_top_gappers+0.0%-4.9%
2026-08-05sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-4.9%
2026-08-04sec_top_gappers+2.8%+1.3%✓ hit
2026-08-04sec_top_moat_emerging+2.8%+1.3%✓ hit
Lifetime: 8/12 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for UCAR. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.3% of the time across 344 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.4%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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