What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for VATE?

As of 2026-10-15, VATE has a convergence score of -18 with conviction tier AVOID and 5 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is VATE's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on VATE?

On the last 10 published picks featuring VATE, 7 hit the +2% intraday threshold (70% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · VATE

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-15

$VATE

industrials · convergence -18 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-18

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

7/10

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Why $VATE?

VATE -18 AVOID industrials

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $421.6M (+74.2% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $10.7M (+154.0% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: xbrl_ni, split, audit_extras, auto_sec_divest, auto_macro_credit_spreads

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-18 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, industrials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

LRHC via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -8)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -9)
TENB via tech r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 29)
CCC via tech r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 8)
BSVN via financials r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 10)
NTST via financials r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 10)

Signals Firing

xbrl_nisplitaudit_extrasauto_sec_divestauto_macro_credit_spreads

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-12	sec_top_gappers	+2.4%	-8.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-12	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.4%	-8.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-09	sec_clean_gappers	-0.8%	-3.2%	—
2026-10-09	sec_top_gappers	-0.8%	-3.2%	—
2026-10-09	sec_top_moat_emerging	-0.8%	-3.2%	—
2026-09-02	sec_clean_gappers	+3.4%	+1.1%	✓ hit
2026-09-02	sec_top_gappers	+3.4%	+1.1%	✓ hit
2026-09-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.4%	+1.1%	✓ hit
2026-08-18	sec_top_gappers	+4.6%	+2.2%	✓ hit
2026-08-18	sec_top_moat_emerging	+4.6%	+2.2%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 7/10 wins · hit-rate 70.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

LRHCvia real_estate · score -8
AEIvia real_estate · score -9
TENBvia tech · score 29
CCCvia tech · score 8
BSVNvia financials · score 10
NTSTvia financials · score 10

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for VATE. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 464 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.8%. That is a +8.2 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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