CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-13
$VIR
biotech · convergence 11 · conviction WATCH
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Why $VIR?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $238.9M (n/a YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $80.1M (+172.2% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 9 convergent signals fired: finra_short, xbrl_ni, sec_fda, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (11 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
NVDA via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 46)
DIOD via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 31)
SKYD via comms r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 22)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 14)
BOXL via tech r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 31)
CSCO via tech r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 25)
Signals Firing
finra_short xbrl_ni sec_fda audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-09 sec_top_gappers +0.7% -3.6% — 2026-11-09 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.7% -3.6% — 2026-10-28 sec_top_gappers +2.2% -1.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.2% -1.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +2.5% +0.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.5% +0.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-08 sec_top_gappers +7.9% +5.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-08 sec_top_moat_emerging +7.9% +5.2% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 6/8 wins · hit-rate 75.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket NVDA via semis · score 46 DIOD via semis · score 31 SKYD via comms · score 22 LBTYA via comms · score 14 BOXL via tech · score 31 CSCO via tech · score 25
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