CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$WETO
industrials · convergence -3 · conviction WATCH
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Why $WETO?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -3 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: finra_short, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates, auto_macro_yield_curve
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-3 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
DIOD via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 21)
NVDA via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 12)
INOD via tech r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 20)
QBTS via tech r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 11)
APYX via biotech r=+0.61 sympathetic (score 27)
COGT via biotech r=+0.61 sympathetic (score 21)
Signals Firing
finra_short auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-02 sec_top_gappers -3.6% -12.4% — 2026-11-02 sec_top_moat_emerging -3.6% -12.4% — 2026-10-30 sec_top_gappers +43.2% +20.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +43.2% +20.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +1.7% -0.5% — 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.7% -0.5% — 2026-10-22 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -4.4% — 2026-10-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -4.4% — 2026-10-01 sec_top_gappers +1.8% -3.6% — 2026-10-01 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.8% -3.6% — 2026-09-21 sec_top_gappers +4.2% +0.0% ✓ hit 2026-09-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.2% +0.0% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 4/12 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket DIOD via semis · score 21 NVDA via semis · score 12 INOD via tech · score 20 QBTS via tech · score 11 APYX via biotech · score 27 COGT via biotech · score 21
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