What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for XBIT?

As of 2026-10-08, XBIT has a convergence score of -27 with conviction tier AVOID and 5 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is XBIT's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on XBIT?

On the last 8 published picks featuring XBIT, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (25% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · XBIT

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$XBIT

biotech · convergence -27 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-27

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/8

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Why $XBIT?

XBIT -27 AVOID biotech

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-6.7M (-283.1% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: gap, auto_macro_crypto_fear_greed, auto_macro_nbp_fx, auto_macro_swpc_forecast, auto_macro_yield_curve

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-27 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

NFE via utilities r=-0.81 divergent (score 30)
TLN via utilities r=-0.81 divergent (score 5)
ONDS via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 7)
IRDM via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score -9)

Signals Firing

gapauto_macro_crypto_fear_greedauto_macro_nbp_fxauto_macro_swpc_forecastauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-06	sec_top_gappers	+3.2%	+1.4%	✓ hit
2026-10-06	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.2%	+1.4%	✓ hit
2026-10-05	sec_top_gappers	+0.5%	-0.9%	—
2026-10-05	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.5%	-0.9%	—
2026-10-02	sec_top_gappers	+0.5%	-0.5%	—
2026-10-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.5%	-0.5%	—
2026-08-13	sec_top_gappers	+1.7%	-1.3%	—
2026-08-13	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.7%	-1.3%	—

Lifetime: 2/8 wins · hit-rate 25.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

NFEvia utilities · score 30
TLNvia utilities · score 5
ONDSvia comms · score 7
IRDMvia comms · score -9

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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