CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$XHLD
industrials · convergence -6 · conviction WATCH
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Why $XHLD?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $731.0K (-34.5% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-3.0M (-7.2% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 8 convergent signals fired: earnings, regsho, auto_lockup_calendar, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_bls_employment
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Reg SHO threshold list : On NASDAQ threshold list (2026-11-05)
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
NXPI via semis r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 9)
NVDA via semis r=+0.85 sympathetic (score 8)
QBTS via tech r=+0.75 sympathetic (score 7)
ORBS via tech r=+0.75 sympathetic (score 4)
MRNA via biotech r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 44)
ANIK via biotech r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 15)
Signals Firing
earnings regsho auto_lockup_calendar auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-02 sec_top_gappers +6.7% -4.3% ✓ hit 2026-11-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +6.7% -4.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-30 sec_top_gappers +13.9% +3.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +13.9% +3.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-05 sec_top_gappers +97.1% +51.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +97.1% +51.6% ✓ hit 2026-09-21 sec_top_gappers +23.5% +12.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +23.5% +12.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-18 sec_top_gappers +7.1% +6.3% ✓ hit 2026-09-18 sec_top_moat_emerging +7.1% +6.3% ✓ hit 2026-09-17 sec_top_gappers +2.9% +1.2% ✓ hit 2026-09-17 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.9% +1.2% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 18/21 wins · hit-rate 85.7% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket NXPI via semis · score 9 NVDA via semis · score 8 QBTS via tech · score 7 ORBS via tech · score 4 MRNA via biotech · score 44 ANIK via biotech · score 15
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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