Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · XPON
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$XPON

tech · convergence -7 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
-7
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
8
Track Record
12/16
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Why $XPON?

XPON -7 WATCH tech

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $2.0M (-32.1% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-1.3M (+6.4% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Corporate action: spinoff 2026-08-24

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-7 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, tech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • ONDS via comms r=-0.56 divergent (score 18)
  • IRDM via comms r=-0.56 divergent (score 8)
  • KPTI via biotech r=-0.55 divergent (score 18)
  • CHRS via biotech r=-0.55 divergent (score 8)
  • TTMI via semis r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 6)
  • TE via semis r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 2)

Signals Firing

contractaudit_extrasauto_sec_cmgmtauto_sec_geopolauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-23sec_top_gappers+3.2%+1.3%✓ hit
2026-09-23sec_top_moat_emerging+3.2%+1.3%✓ hit
2026-09-22sec_top_gappers+0.8%-11.1%—
2026-09-22sec_top_moat_emerging+0.8%-11.1%—
2026-09-21sec_top_gappers+13.2%+9.3%✓ hit
2026-09-21sec_top_moat_emerging+13.2%+9.3%✓ hit
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+11.8%+8.1%✓ hit
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+11.8%+8.1%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_gappers+4.1%-5.6%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_moat_emerging+4.1%-5.6%✓ hit
2026-09-08sec_top_gappers+2.7%-0.9%✓ hit
2026-09-08sec_top_moat_emerging+2.7%-0.9%✓ hit
Lifetime: 12/16 wins · hit-rate 75.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for XPON. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

$99 once — every ticker on this site ranked before the open.

Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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