Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ZBAO
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-02

$ZBAO

consumer · convergence -14 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-14
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
6
Track Record
6/14
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Why $ZBAO?

ZBAO -14 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -14 (6 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: finra_short, auto_setup_classifier, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_term_premium

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • MOBX via semis r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 2)
  • PENG via semis r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 2)
  • ATKR via tech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 15)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 11)
  • SMA via financials r=+0.75 sympathetic (score 24)
  • CBOE via financials r=+0.75 sympathetic (score 18)

Signals Firing

finra_shortauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-28sec_top_gappers-4.6%-8.0%—
2026-09-28sec_top_moat_emerging-4.6%-8.0%—
2026-09-17sec_top_gappers+0.0%-1.7%—
2026-09-17sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-1.7%—
2026-09-10sec_top_gappers+6.1%+0.7%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_moat_emerging+6.1%+0.7%✓ hit
2026-09-02sec_top_gappers+13.7%+9.3%✓ hit
2026-09-02sec_top_moat_emerging+13.7%+9.3%✓ hit
2026-09-01sec_top_gappers+8.6%+5.9%✓ hit
2026-09-01sec_top_moat_emerging+8.6%+5.9%✓ hit
2026-08-17sec_top_gappers+0.5%-4.6%—
2026-08-17sec_top_moat_emerging+0.5%-4.6%—
Lifetime: 6/14 wins · hit-rate 42.9% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for ZBAO. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 372 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +9.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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