Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · CRDO
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$CRDO

semis · convergence -24 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-24
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
8
Track Record
8/14
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Why $CRDO?

CRDO -24 AVOID semis

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $129.4M (+104.1% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: finra_short, finra_regsho, xbrl_ni, oge_exec, auto_macro_crypto_fear_greed

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • TENB via tech r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 1)
  • XPON via tech r=+0.94 sympathetic (score -4)
  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 7)
  • DE via industrials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score -1)
  • DK via energy r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 8)
  • PBF via energy r=+0.57 sympathetic (score 2)

Signals Firing

finra_shortfinra_regshoxbrl_nioge_execauto_macro_crypto_fear_greedauto_macro_nbp_fxauto_macro_swpc_forecastauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-06sec_top_gappers+0.8%-0.4%—
2026-10-06sec_top_moat_emerging+0.8%-0.4%—
2026-09-04sec_top_gappers+4.4%-1.7%✓ hit
2026-09-04sec_top_moat_emerging+4.4%-1.7%✓ hit
2026-09-03sec_top_gappers+4.8%+3.9%✓ hit
2026-09-03sec_top_moat_emerging+4.8%+3.9%✓ hit
2026-09-02sec_top_gappers+3.6%-0.6%✓ hit
2026-09-02sec_top_moat_emerging+3.6%-0.6%✓ hit
2026-09-01sec_top_gappers-7.8%-20.0%—
2026-09-01sec_top_moat_emerging-7.8%-20.0%—
2026-08-27sec_top_gappers+0.1%-3.1%—
2026-08-27sec_top_moat_emerging+0.1%-3.1%—
Lifetime: 8/14 wins · hit-rate 57.1% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for CRDO. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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