What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for CTRA?

As of 2026-09-18, CTRA has a convergence score of 14 with conviction tier WATCH and 8 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is CTRA's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · CTRA

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$CTRA

energy_natgas · convergence 14 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

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Why $CTRA?

CTRA 14 WATCH energy_natgas

Quantitative

Convergence score: 14 (8 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: orphan_lean, fed_overlay, auto_setup_classifier, auto_macro_13f_whales, auto_macro_eia_petroleum

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (14 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, energy_natgas-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

AR via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 24)
RRC via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 19)
UNG via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 15)
BOIL via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
CHK via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
EQT via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 13)

Signals Firing

orphan_leanfed_overlayauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Sympathy Basket

ARvia energy_natgas · score 24
RRCvia energy_natgas · score 19
UNGvia energy_natgas · score 15
BOILvia energy_natgas · score 14
CHKvia energy_natgas · score 14
EQTvia energy_natgas · score 13

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for CTRA. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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