What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for UNG?

As of 2026-11-03, UNG has a convergence score of 4 with conviction tier WATCH and 8 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is UNG's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on UNG?

On the last 6 published picks featuring UNG, 3 hit the +2% intraday threshold (50% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · UNG

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03

$UNG

energy_natgas · convergence 4 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

3/6

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Why $UNG?

UNG 4 WATCH energy_natgas

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $15.4M (+112.6% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: finra_short, finra_regsho, macro, orphan_lean, xbrl_ni

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

AR via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 2)
BOIL via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -1)
CHK via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -4)
CTRA via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -4)
RRC via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -20)
EQT via energy_natgas r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -22)

Signals Firing

finra_shortfinra_regshomacroorphan_leanxbrl_nifed_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goods

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-30	sec_clean_gappers	+2.8%	-0.9%	✓ hit
2026-10-30	sec_top_gappers	+2.8%	-0.9%	✓ hit
2026-10-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.8%	-0.9%	✓ hit
2026-10-15	sec_clean_gappers	-3.0%	-3.9%	—
2026-10-15	sec_top_gappers	-3.0%	-3.9%	—
2026-10-15	sec_top_moat_emerging	-3.0%	-3.9%	—

Lifetime: 3/6 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

ARvia energy_natgas · score 2
BOILvia energy_natgas · score -1
CHKvia energy_natgas · score -4
CTRAvia energy_natgas · score -4
RRCvia energy_natgas · score -20
EQTvia energy_natgas · score -22

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for UNG. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 44.0% of the time across 414 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.4%. That is a +5.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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