Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · KE
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-02

$KE

semis · convergence -18 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-18
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
5
Track Record
8/14
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Why $KE?

KE -18 AVOID semis

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -18 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: merger, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_term_premium, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-18 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • REZI via consumer r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 15)
  • GME via consumer r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 13)
  • ATKR via tech r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 15)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.82 sympathetic (score 11)
  • EVRG via utilities r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 13)
  • OPTT via utilities r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 11)

Signals Firing

mergerauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-30sec_top_gappers+4.6%+3.6%✓ hit
2026-09-30sec_top_moat_emerging+4.6%+3.6%✓ hit
2026-09-22sec_top_gappers+2.2%+1.7%✓ hit
2026-09-22sec_top_moat_emerging+2.2%+1.7%✓ hit
2026-09-21sec_top_gappers+4.2%+4.0%✓ hit
2026-09-21sec_top_moat_emerging+4.2%+4.0%✓ hit
2026-09-18sec_top_gappers+4.6%+4.0%✓ hit
2026-09-18sec_top_moat_emerging+4.6%+4.0%✓ hit
2026-08-27sec_top_gappers+0.2%-2.6%—
2026-08-27sec_top_moat_emerging+0.2%-2.6%—
2026-08-21sec_top_gappers-0.1%-1.5%—
2026-08-21sec_top_moat_emerging-0.1%-1.5%—
Lifetime: 8/14 wins · hit-rate 57.1% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for KE. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 372 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +9.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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