What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for MTVA?

As of 2026-11-06, MTVA has a convergence score of 1 with conviction tier WATCH and 8 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is MTVA's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on MTVA?

On the last 6 published picks featuring MTVA, 6 hit the +2% intraday threshold (100% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · MTVA

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06

$MTVA

biotech · convergence 1 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

6/6

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Why $MTVA?

MTVA 1 WATCH biotech

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-5.3M (-33.1% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: finra_short, gap, sec_fda, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_bls_employment

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (1 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

QBTS via tech r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 7)
ORBS via tech r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 4)
NXPI via semis r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 9)
NVDA via semis r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 8)
TU via comms r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 11)
SKYD via comms r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 7)

Signals Firing

finra_shortgapsec_fdaauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_bls_employmentauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-11-05	sec_top_gappers	+29.4%	+29.4%	✓ hit
2026-11-05	sec_top_moat_emerging	+29.4%	+29.4%	✓ hit
2026-10-28	sec_top_gappers	+9.6%	+4.4%	✓ hit
2026-10-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+9.6%	+4.4%	✓ hit
2026-09-09	sec_top_gappers	+5.2%	+0.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-09	sec_top_moat_emerging	+5.2%	+0.6%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 6/6 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

QBTSvia tech · score 7
ORBSvia tech · score 4
NXPIvia semis · score 9
NVDAvia semis · score 8
TUvia comms · score 11
SKYDvia comms · score 7

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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