CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-13
$RNA
biotech · convergence -5 · conviction WATCH
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Why $RNA?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-20.2M (-56.7% YoY)
Catalysts
Deal terms : milestone_payment 2026-11-12
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-5 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
NVDA via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 34)
CBRS via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 15)
SKYD via comms r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 19)
BBGI via comms r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 15)
BOXL via tech r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 26)
SMCI via tech r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 26)
Signals Firing
biotech sec_fda audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-02 sec_top_gappers +2.6% +2.0% ✓ hit 2026-11-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.6% +2.0% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +2.5% +1.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.5% +1.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-13 sec_top_gappers +2.5% -0.9% ✓ hit 2026-10-13 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.5% -0.9% ✓ hit 2026-10-12 sec_top_gappers +0.1% -5.6% — 2026-10-12 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.1% -5.6% — 2026-10-09 sec_clean_gappers +1.0% -2.3% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_gappers +1.0% -2.3% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.0% -2.3% —
Lifetime: 6/11 wins · hit-rate 54.5% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket NVDA via semis · score 34 CBRS via semis · score 15 SKYD via comms · score 19 BBGI via comms · score 15 BOXL via tech · score 26 SMCI via tech · score 26
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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