Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · SOBR
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03

$SOBR

comms · convergence -11 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-11
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
5
Track Record
6/11
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Why $SOBR?

SOBR -11 AVOID comms

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $29.1K (-72.1% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-3.1M (-53.4% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: sc13d, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-11 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, comms-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • MPLX via energy r=-0.80 divergent (score 26)
  • IMSR via energy r=-0.80 divergent (score 7)
  • LCII via consumer r=+0.59 sympathetic (score 26)
  • MOD via consumer r=+0.59 sympathetic (score 26)
  • EVRG via utilities r=-0.51 divergent (score 31)
  • VST via utilities r=-0.51 divergent (score 21)

Signals Firing

sc13dauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-02sec_top_gappers+38.0%+38.0%✓ hit
2026-10-02sec_top_moat_emerging+38.0%+38.0%✓ hit
2026-09-25sec_clean_gappers-7.8%-19.4%—
2026-09-25sec_top_gappers-7.8%-19.4%—
2026-09-25sec_top_moat_emerging-7.8%-19.4%—
2026-09-23sec_top_gappers-4.6%-23.7%—
2026-09-23sec_top_moat_emerging-4.6%-23.7%—
2026-09-22sec_top_gappers+14.5%+0.0%✓ hit
2026-09-22sec_top_moat_emerging+14.5%+0.0%✓ hit
2026-09-21sec_top_gappers+12.8%-1.5%✓ hit
2026-09-21sec_top_moat_emerging+12.8%-1.5%✓ hit
Lifetime: 6/11 wins · hit-rate 54.5% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for SOBR. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 44.0% of the time across 414 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.4%. That is a +5.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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