Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · TOVX
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03

$TOVX

biotech · convergence -6 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
-6
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
6/14
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Why $TOVX?

TOVX -6 WATCH biotech

Quantitative

  • Market cap: $7,824,700
  • Convergence score: -6 (4 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Deal terms: milestone_payment 2026-11-02
  • Deal terms: milestone_payment 2026-11-02

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-6 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • TAP via staples r=-0.90 divergent (score 9)
  • UTZ via staples r=-0.90 divergent (score 5)
  • VTEX via tech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 17)
  • PCOR via tech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 16)
  • MRVL via semis r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 30)
  • AMD via semis r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 9)

Signals Firing

earningssec_fdaauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goods
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-23sec_top_gappers+0.0%-5.0%—
2026-10-23sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-5.0%—
2026-10-22sec_top_gappers+5.3%+5.3%✓ hit
2026-10-22sec_top_moat_emerging+5.3%+5.3%✓ hit
2026-10-21sec_top_gappers+0.0%-5.0%—
2026-10-21sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-5.0%—
2026-10-20sec_top_gappers+4.8%-4.8%✓ hit
2026-10-20sec_top_moat_emerging+4.8%-4.8%✓ hit
2026-10-14sec_top_gappers+4.8%+0.0%✓ hit
2026-10-14sec_top_moat_emerging+4.8%+0.0%✓ hit
2026-10-13sec_top_gappers+0.0%-4.5%—
2026-10-13sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-4.5%—
Lifetime: 6/14 wins · hit-rate 42.9% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for TOVX. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 44.0% of the time across 414 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.4%. That is a +5.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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