Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · TTD
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$TTD

tech · convergence -29 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-29
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
9
Track Record
4/14
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Why $TTD?

TTD -29 AVOID tech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $64.4M (-28.6% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: finra_short, sc13d, congress, oge_exec, auto_sec_audit

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
  • Auditor change / restatement: restatement on

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • ONDS via comms r=-0.56 divergent (score 18)
  • IRDM via comms r=-0.56 divergent (score 8)
  • KPTI via biotech r=-0.55 divergent (score 18)
  • CHRS via biotech r=-0.55 divergent (score 8)
  • TTMI via semis r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 6)
  • TE via semis r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 2)

Signals Firing

finra_shortsc13dcongressoge_execauto_sec_auditauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-23sec_top_gappers+1.3%-0.4%—
2026-09-23sec_top_moat_emerging+1.3%-0.4%—
2026-09-22sec_top_gappers-0.1%-3.8%—
2026-09-22sec_top_moat_emerging-0.1%-3.8%—
2026-09-21sec_top_gappers+1.2%-5.0%—
2026-09-21sec_top_moat_emerging+1.2%-5.0%—
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+2.2%+0.2%✓ hit
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+2.2%+0.2%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_gappers+3.0%+2.6%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_moat_emerging+3.0%+2.6%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_gappers+1.3%+0.6%—
2026-09-09sec_top_moat_emerging+1.3%+0.6%—
Lifetime: 4/14 wins · hit-rate 28.6% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for TTD. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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